Friday, October 28, 2011

Snow looking more likely for Saturday

Predicting snow at this time of the year is always a battle between the climatological and meteorological factors. While this storm looks good for snow, and most models are showing a few inches, it's October in D.C. Snow is extremely rare at this time of the year. The models often show storms days out which then disappear or change, and a few days ago, this potential storm was thought to be just that, a random blip that would soon correct itself to fit in with the cimatological norms. However, as we are getting closer to the event, it is becoming more evident that this storm could be the real deal.
Right now I would go with 1-2 inches in most places with maybe 3 up north near Damascus as the most likely scenario. This will be a really heavy and wet snow that doesn't stick to the ground at first and may be mixed in with intermittent rain. As always, the forecast is subject to change change, and could put us in the bullseye, giving us up to 4 inches of snow, or do the opposite, move out to sea, barely giving us anything.

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